It's ironic that more people will remember your post because you were so wrong. If you had given a rationale for your number, the crowd might have been more forgiving. I know I would have. But if you're just going to throw a number out there, you get what you deserve.
Let's sum up here: You make a prediction that AIG will not see 38.05 within 12 months, and then THREE DAYS LATER AIG BLOWS RIGHT THROUGH THAT LEVEL BY ALMOST A BUCK!!!!!
In the future, at least make a prediction that will last more than 3 days. Thanks for playing.