BoM really are betting it all on shear but at least now agree on a coastal crossing.
"The system lies in a region of NW shear, which should steadily increase over the
next 36 hours. This is likely to slow further development, and lead to weakening
from Saturday onwards as the system likely turns to the south. Following this
period, weakening of the upper trough and development of low level ridging to
the south should push the remains of the system, most likely below tropical
cyclone strength, westwards towards the Queensland coast."
Note the MOST LIKELY below cyclone strength.
Hmmm... not so sure about that by the look of it.
Edited by boomer (14/03/2013 18:26)
Our life is what our thoughts make it - Marcus Aurelius