The figure shows the simulated change in water-limited wheat production for 2030 compared with 2000 for the A1B emission scenario using a cold (ECHAM5) (left) and a warm (HADCM3) (right) climate change projection.
The simulation was performed on a 25x25 km grid (assuming current area of wheat cropping) but the results are presented here at the NUTS-2 level.
Donatelli, M., Duveiller, G., Fumagalli, D., Srivastava, A., Zucchini, A., Angileri, V., Fasbender, D., Loudjani, P., Kay, S., Juskevicius, V., Toth, T., Haastrup, P., M’barek, R., Espinosa, M., Ciaian, P. and Niemeyer, S., 2012, Assessing agriculture vulnerabilities for the design of effective measures for adaption to climate change (AVEMAC project), European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Luxembourg.
EEA standard re-use policy: unless otherwise indicated, re-use of content on the EEA website for commercial or non-commercial purposes is permitted free of charge, provided that the source is acknowledged (http://www.eea.europa.eu/legal/copyright). Copyright holder: European Environment Agency (EEA).
An impact assessment of climate change scenarios on agriculture was run covering EU27, being centred on time horizons centred on the years 2020 and 2030, in comparison to the baseline centred on the year 2000.