Data for the "Bend the Trend" figure kindly provided by Detlef van Vuuren, from the IMAGE team, which developed the IMAGE model (Integrated Model to Assess the Global Environment) under the authority of the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL). This scenario was originally published in Climatic Change, an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climate change: Van Vuuren et al. (2007). "Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: An assessment of reduction strategies and costs". Climatic Change, 81, (2): 119-159.
This scenario was also used in the European project ADAM (adaptation and mitigation strategies), which involved 120 researchers in 26 research institutions across Europe and worldwide, and aimed to support the EU in the development of post-2012 global climate policies, the definition of European mitigation policies to reach its 2020 goals, and the emergence of new adaptation policies for Europe with special attention to the role of extreme weather events. Cf. Henry Neufeldt, Duncan Russell, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Asbjørn Aaheim, Jochen Hinkel, Frans Berkhout, Gunnar S. Eskeland, Reinhard Mechler, Saskia E. Werners, Frank Biermann, Brigitte Knopf, Joyeeta Gupta, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Anthony Patt (2009): Making Climate Change Work for Us – European Perspectives on Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies. M. Hulme, H. Neufeldt (editors), Cambridge University Press (in press).