Modeling demographic and economic change in Roman Italy
projects seeks to develop a range of scenarios of
demographic and economic change in Italy in the last two centuries BCE
and to examine the logical implications of rival interpretations advanced in
recent scholarship with the help of computer simulations of model populations.
My main collaborators are Peter Turchin (University of Connecticut)
and Saskia Hin (University of Leiden and Max Planck Institute for
Demographic Research, Rostock).
a first publication, see now Peter Turchin and Walter Scheidel, ‘Coin hoards speak of population declines in
in: Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences 106 (2009), 17276-17279, and press
coverage of this work.