Tim the Plumber wrote:
Currently the IPCC's worst case scenario is for a 3.2 degree c temperature rise by 2100.
From their earlier worst case scenario of a 59cm sea level rise if we got a 6.4 degree c temperature rise I expect that the current worst case is less than 40 cm.
I don't see the horror of either change.
1 That the sea level magically stops rising on 1st Jan 2101.
2 That the IPCC has not underestimated sea level rise which on current figures seems likely.
3 That there are no other impacts from climate change such as extreme rainfall events or increasing numbers of storm surges.
4 That you don't live on one of the low lying Islands.
5 That you can afford to take remedial action or move if necessary
Also since the 6.4 number was predicted in 1998 and whilst the CO2 level has risen at their worst case rate the temperature has remaigned stable, this calls into question the whole theory that CO2 is a significant driver of climate.
No It only proves you do not understand that there are other things that effect climate, such as the huge amounts of aerosols that we are pumping into the atmosphere which we know is having a cooling effect. Nor do you seem to understand that the rate of warming is about currently around 0.2 Deg C per decade but that naturally the temperature can vary by nearly that much in a single year, which means you need a longer time period to identify the warming trend. Also you are guilty of cherry picking as 1998 was one o f the strongest El Nino events we have seen in a century and we know that kicks the temperature up. Currently the northern hemisphere is experiencing its warmest summer on record.
This make the position one of me not being paniced about the threat of something mildly inconvienient and over all nice which is it's self unlikely to actually happen.
Believe me there is nothing nice about being flooded out of house and home
as in Manilla for example http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-08-09/an-philippines-flood-update-thurs-pm/4188350
I wonder if you have thought about what happens when the sea level rises and the flood water cannot get away to the sea ?