There has to be a moment. Imagine the fire nearly out. Your smokejumper or hotshot or engine crew is nearby, each of you working the still burning stumps, the residue on the ground that might still catch a bit of wind and grow again toward fire.
Nate Silver is not a pollster. He is not polling people, but using data to make predictions. Similarly, weather forecasts are generally correct -- but not always. But when there is an 86 percent change of rain, most of us grab an umbrella. And we should.
With the nation up in arms about the perversity of pouring billions into the coffers of the banks the symbolism of the three CEO's tone deaf failure to be present in Washington is beyond understanding.