The alarmists want to place the world in servitude to the models that are predicting global warming. But those models can’t even reconstruct the past.
A researcher at Sweden’s University of Gothenburg analyzed climate models to see how closely their predictions fit with history, in this case, precipitation in China from 1961 to 2000. What Tinghai Ou found should crimp the alarmists’ plans to establish regimes that punish and limit man’s use of fossil fuels.
“Only a few climate models were able to reproduce the observed changes in extreme precipitation in China over the last 50 years,” says the university’s Department of Earth Sciences.
Ou himself said that the “results show that climate models give a poor reflection of the actual changes in extreme precipitation events that took place in China” during the period he examined.
“Only half of the 21 analyzed climate models were able to reproduce the changes in some regions of China,” he said. “Few models can well reproduce the nationwide change.”
Ou’s work is important. If the models can’t get the past right, how can they be trusted to predict future climate?
Seems more like guesswork than solid science to us.
Oh, it’s worse than that. It’s an agenda-driven scam.
Science Daily has the original press release.