Although the Baidya faction appears to be a staunch opponent of the Bhattarai government and Dahal-led party establishment, there are very few differences between them. Both groups want to ultimately seize power and agree that a people's revolt is the way forward. The party establishment believes that a revolt may not be the most appropriate approach at the moment, because their earlier attempts to impeach ex-army chief, Rukmangad Katwal, and implement a general strike failed. However, the hardliners within the Baidya faction blame lack of preparation and carelessness for the letdown. They argue that such minor hiccups should not deter them from the path of revolution.
Furthermore, the Baidya faction does not want the statute drafting to be completed by 27 May, because that would provide ripe conditions for a revolt. The establishment, on the other hand, realises that it can't stay in power without the blessings of the southern neighbour and plans to declare a constitution by the deadline. However, insiders say Dahal wants the remaining two weeks to unfold in such a way so that a constitution is not possible so that he can make someone else a scapegoat. Dahal knows Baidya has greater support of the former combatants and the only way to secure his political future is to keep the party united. Baidya is likely to accept Dahal's leadership if he endorses the hard-line agenda. The fate of the Maoist party now rests on whether the new constitution gets written on time.