Strong thunderstorms capable of some gusty winds, heavy rain, and frequent lightning are possible this evening across a portion of North-Central Florida. A low potential for severe weather, including damaging winds and isolated tornadoes, exists near the I-10 corridor (area in the orange color on the map above).
The cold front responsible for tonight’s thunderstorms is weakening and will likely not arrive in Alachua County until Tuesday morning. However, a pre-frontal disturbance is moving out of the Gulf of Mexico will likely aid in the development of spotty strong thunderstorms well ahead of the front. Daytime temperatures nearing 80 and a surge of higher humidity (dew points nearing 65) will create an atmosphere unstable enough for the storms to continue well after sunset.