Rove: Ugly Models Make GOP Look Bad
Karl Rove makes the now common Republican argument that polls are showing an Obama lead because they're using turnout models based on 2008, when there were unusual circumstances such as young voters turning out at twice their normal rate.
Is the GOP argument accurate? The Atlantic does analysis.
On Monday, Buzzfeed interviewed a Virginia-based blogger who re-weights public polls to reflect the partisan trends reported by automated pollster Rasmussen Reports. Dean Chambers, the blogger, then presents the adjusted data in charts on his website, unskewedpolls.com.
As of late Monday, Chambers' website claimed that an average of polls conducted since Labor Day show Mitt Romney leading Obama, 52 percent to 44 percent. The website and its findings were trumpeted on the Drudge Report, the conservative-leaning news-aggregation site that has tended to highlight polls more favorable to Romney and less favorable to the president.