posted on Dec, 15 2012 @ 05:58 PM
If one were to read the various published stories of the mainstream press on this topic,you could be led to beleive that the Second Order Drafts 1st
Workin Group of the AR5 support the conclusion of the Executive Summary that AGW is virtually certain,
Nothing could be farther from the truth.
In fact, Ckapter 7 recognizes, for the 1st time
, that solar radiative forcing plays a "significant" role in any recently observed
Of course, the MSM authors merely parrot the Executive Summary, which does not, actually, lead to the "certainty" conclusion; although that is clearly
the impression they (and the IPCC) wish to convey.
If one were to actually READ the leaked Chapters, one would find that the draft AR5 significantly departs from the AR4 premise that man must be the
sole/major cause of climate warming, since it can’t be attributed to Total Solar Irradiance.
In fact, the Chapter 7 authors specifically state:
“The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying
mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. ”
(page 7-43, lines 1-5)
The primary leaker, Alec Rawls, explains:
“The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence (“many empirical relationships”) for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar
irradiance, or TSI), even if they don’t know what the mechanism is.
The AR4 analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance,
cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced
solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.
[T]he Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.
The admission of strong evidence for enhanced solar forcing changes everything. The climate alarmists can’t continue to claim that warming was
almost entirely due to human activity over a period when solar warming effects, now acknowledged to be important, were at a maximum.”
Let the Alarmists deny!
edit on 15-12-2012 by jdub297 because: url